The Clark Cup conference finals have reached the point where the scoreboard says everything and almost nothing at the same time. Both series are tied 1-1 heading into Games 3 and 4. In the East, Madison stole Game 1 in Muskegon before the Lumberjacks answered in Game 2. In the West, Sioux Falls rolled through Game 1 before Fargo came back and took Game 2 in overtime. That means no team has control yet, but each series has already shown a very clear personality. Games 3 and 4 now shift to Madison and Fargo on May 8 and May 9, with a fifth game, if needed, returning to Muskegon and Sioux Falls.
With both series tied 1-1, this week’s focus is on where the conference finals stand now and which team is starting to look best positioned to reach the Clark Cup Final. Nobody is one win away yet. Nobody is behind in a way that feels fatal. What matters now is not just the standings inside the series, but how those 1-1 ties were built. Madison and Fargo both found ways to survive on the road and get the split they needed. Muskegon and Sioux Falls both showed enough territorial control to believe they may still have the stronger path if they keep playing the way they have through two games.
Start in the East, where Madison’s playoff identity remains completely intact. The Capitols won Game 1, 2-1, in the same sort of game they have been winning all spring. Muskegon outshot them 40-22 and controlled the shot advantage in all three periods, but Madison stayed close, got the equalizer from
Jackson Nevers early in the third, and then won it when
Tyden Bergeson scored with 56 seconds left.
Caleb Heil stopped 39 of 40 shots and was named the game’s first star.
That is not new. Madison entered the conference final as the bracket’s clear surprise after knocking out Youngstown, and the USHL’s own conference finals preview laid out the formula plainly: timely scoring, heavy reliance on Heil, and a willingness to win games that do not look comfortable. Before this series started, Heil was already 5-1 with a 1.11 goals-against average and a .966 save percentage, while
Nolen Geerdes and Bergeson were leading the offense with six playoff points apiece. Through Game 1, Madison still looked exactly like that team.
But Game 2 also made the Eastern series harder to read if you only focus on the score. Muskegon won 5-3 and once again drove the game territorially, outshooting Madison 46-22 after piling up a 22-3 advantage in the first period alone.
Carter Amico tied the game early,
Jack Christ and
Drew Stewart scored in the second, Madison fought back from 3-1 down to make it 3-3 in the third, and then
Carter Sanderson delivered the go-ahead goal before
Rudolfs Berzkalns sealed it with the empty-netter. Stewart finished with a goal and two assists. Christ added a goal and two assists. Through two games, Muskegon owns an 86-44 edge in shots.
That is the central truth of the East right now. Madison has been better at surviving the big moments. Muskegon has been better at controlling the larger game. The Lumberjacks also came into the series with a deeper playoff scoring profile, led by
Viktor Norringer’s eight points, Stewart’s seven,
Adam Belusko’s seven, and
Carl Axelsson’s 5-2 postseason record. Madison’s case is still built around Heil and a group that does not panic when the game gets tilted against it. Muskegon’s case is built around pressure, depth, and the sense that if the shot gap keeps looking like this, the series should eventually tip in its direction.
The West is tied too, but it got there in a different way. Sioux Falls came out flying in Game 1 and looked every bit like the most complete team left in the field. The Stampede beat Fargo 6-2, outshot the Force 43-24, scored four times in the first period, and went 2-for-6 on the power play. J.J. Monteiro had two goals and an assist,
Brent Solomon opened the scoring, and
Linards Feldbergs made 22 saves. It was the kind of game that made the Herd look fast, deep, and dangerous from every direction.
That result fit the profile Sioux Falls brought into the series. In the USHL’s April 30 preview, the Stampede entered the conference final after surviving Lincoln in five games, with J.J. Monteiro at five playoff points,
Matthew Grimes and Brent Solomon at four each, and Feldbergs carrying a 2.33 goals-against average with a .923 save percentage. Their regular-season case was already strong. Their Game 1 performance only reinforced it. Sioux Falls looked like the team with the higher ceiling and more ways to beat you.
Then Fargo did what good playoff teams do. It answered without needing the game to look pretty. The Force won Game 2, 2-1, in overtime despite being outshot 45-20 and despite not receiving a single power play.
Kolin Sisson scored first,
Thomas Zocco tied it late in the opening period, and
Axel Löfgren ended it at 17:05 of overtime.
Ajay White was the difference, stopping 44 of 45 shots and turning the road split into reality. Through two games, Sioux Falls owns an 88-44 shot edge, but the series is still tied because Fargo got the exact kind of win it had to have.
That tells you a lot about Fargo. The Force came into this round with
Gavin Uhlenkamp,
Graham Jones, and Sisson leading the way offensively, while White had already posted a 3-1 playoff record, a 2.00 goals-against average, and a .920 save percentage. Fargo’s case is different, but it is real. The Force do not open games up the way Sioux Falls can, but they are tough to break down and comfortable in close games. Game 2 followed that script. Fargo did not need to chase the Herd into a special-teams fight or an open-ice game. It needed big goaltending, a timely goal, and enough discipline to survive the pressure. It got all three.
So who looks closest to the Clark Cup Final right now? The honest answer is that the teams driving more of the actual play are Muskegon and Sioux Falls. Muskegon has tilted the East in shot volume and sustained pressure. Sioux Falls has controlled far more of the West than the 1-1 split suggests, and its power play has already made a visible impact. But the teams holding the psychological edge of having already taken a road game are Madison and Fargo. They now bring tied series back to their own buildings, and that changes everything.